Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.382650 0.414849 0.449620 0.490154 0.536358 0.587685 0.649434
2025-01-19 0.312334 0.356873 0.408999 0.475434 0.559241 0.663446 0.806167
2025-01-26 0.278219 0.331103 0.397083 0.487695 0.612765 0.785829 1.056732
2025-02-02 0.259871 0.319991 0.399214 0.515524 0.690257 0.959454 1.447092
2025-02-09 0.238184 0.300582 0.386172 0.518373 0.730826 1.089173 1.831373
2025-02-16 0.217265 0.279186 0.366703 0.507244 0.745519 1.178958 2.191679
2025-02-23 0.202698 0.264830 0.355118 0.505571 0.774394 1.302757 2.713015
2025-03-02 0.188486 0.249444 0.339967 0.495318 0.785072 1.393464 3.228853
2025-03-09 0.176251 0.235822 0.325951 0.484661 0.792290 1.479108 3.820587
2025-03-16 0.165868 0.224105 0.313702 0.475212 0.799665 1.568121 4.541350
2025-03-23 0.160853 0.220129 0.313361 0.486802 0.852810 1.796419 6.255054
2025-03-30 0.152909 0.210976 0.303615 0.479534 0.863215 1.912682 7.701219
2025-04-06 0.142905 0.198288 0.287520 0.459428 0.843260 1.939675 8.778699
2025-04-13 0.133708 0.186490 0.272306 0.439862 0.822328 1.961516 10.034871
2025-04-20 0.129865 0.183091 0.271288 0.448445 0.872598 2.260499 15.902089
2025-04-27 0.128518 0.183640 0.277188 0.472046 0.969000 2.826048 36.152504
2025-05-04 0.124222 0.178968 0.273258 0.474202 1.008079 3.194874 73.501971
2025-05-11 0.118706 0.171902 0.264374 0.464321 1.009796 3.387146 134.428368
2025-05-18 0.114694 0.167174 0.259479 0.462808 1.036997 3.759980 473.586876
2025-05-25 0.110078 0.161157 0.251722 0.453794 1.038427 3.987768 2888.201583
2025-06-01 0.105755 0.155438 0.244163 0.444423 1.036759 4.204461 NaN
2025-06-08 0.101853 0.150274 0.237347 0.436108 1.036989 4.448031 NaN
2025-06-15 0.100266 0.149093 0.238163 0.446302 1.105399 5.383201 NaN